MESA CO2 Proxy Accounting

GHG Protocol entirely fails to account for the shape of the higher-order CO2 curve, and only focuses on 1st-3rd order effects.

In a “Heavy” Tail distributions, 75%+ total emissions are in orange section. Scopes 1-3 account for <10% of CO2 emissions

With no understanding of tail geometry, the GHG Protocol provides no meaningful information at all to compare multiple products or processes – GHG Protocol calculations are illusion at best, intentional deception at worst.

Global trade, optimization, specialization, & complexification of supply chains cause increasingly heavy-tail CO2 distribution.

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Extended Order Effects in CO2 Accounting

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The Long Tail of Scope 3+ Emissions